Κυριακή, 1 Οκτωβρίου 2017

What happens with North Korea?




A bully, with exuberant cheats, of the old age, when the micro-mothers wanted their children fat, to withstand illnesses, scatters fear worldwide. He raises serious questions about his motives and goals. Questions about how, for example, has the convenience of sending missiles to precision ribbons between the Japanese islands, closing the Japanese in the shelters. What is the cause? Where does it go? Who supports him?
A first approach is an old and good joke. A lawyer, after making sure that his daughter learned the job, left her his traditional office. After some time, she tells him with pride: "Dad, Papadopoulos's envelope was closed. We were right. Yesss !!! ». Answer: "My sweet daughter, with Papadopoulos' s case, I grew you up, I paid for your studies, I gave you to be married. And you closed it? "
Unfortunately, the 33-year-old Kim Yong Oun has clearly gone done better. He learned his job well from his father Kim Jong-il, who had been also taught from his father Kim Il Sung's father. The dynasty began in 1948, and Kim Jou-e follows. The dynasty keeps strongly the country's reins, having as a propaganda weapon the "lessons" it gives to the Americans. Perhaps perhaps! it is not so well known, for example, that North Korea has in the past repeatedly destroyed American aircrafts. Unpunished.
This dimension, the inveterate, has been shown directly and formally (26/9) by President Trump."North Korea is a situation that should have been handled 25 years ago, 20 years ago, 15 years ago, 10 years ago, and five years ago, and it could have been handled much more easily." And he added, "You had various administrations -- many administrations which left me a mess. But I'll fix the mess. So we'll see what happens with North Korea."


Exactly this chaos, and in more dimensions, is revealed by a mere careful analysis of what followed the well-known Trump threat (19/9) for "total destruction" of the country of the "Rocket man".
North Korean Foreign Minister Ri Yong Ho answered in dramatic tone (25/9): "The whole world should clearly remember it was the US who first declared war on our country." And he added: "We will have every right to make countermeasures, including the right to shoot down United States strategic bombers even when they are not inside the airspace border of our country."
The White House responded immediately, through spokeswoman Sarah Sanders: "We've not declared war on North Korea. And frankly, the suggestion of that is absurd." Actually, the suggestion was absurd indeed, as the presidential threat was conditional: "if [US] is forced to defend itself or its allies." It is clearly the so-called "casus belli". Threat to war, that is, not war declaration.
It seems, however, that along with the North Koreans, many others did not understand well. Deutsche Welle e.g. put as title: "North Korea accuses Donald Trump of 'declaring war'" and similar anti-Trumpism as content. And somewhere towards the end of the long press, it neutrally says about the above American answer.
The well-planned stress test, therefore, proves a double issue of paranoia. It is paranoia the North Korean response, but also is the attitude of various third parties. Either awkward or abusive. Just so, after decades of hesitation, and similar misery, we have reached today's chaos.
What has changed now is also binary. America, on the one hand, shows not only determined but also capable of giving creative solutions. Enough with the "solutions" of diplomacy. Just to be taken under consideration: The analysis of the signatory "The Trump Avenue for global condescension", with the relevant slogan "make business, not war", was sent straight to the White House. And the answering email (25/9) would not be assumed as completely nonchalance: "We are carefully reviewing your message."
On the other hand, China's attitude has clearly changed. Not only is willingly participating in the sanctions, but also hosted (yesterday, 30/9) US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson saying enigmatically: " We have a couple of direct channels to Pyongyang. We can talk to them. We do talk to them. Directly, through our own channels. "
Effortlessly emerges the crucial question: Why not North Korea to follow the "road" of China? If so, may be, President Trump's 12-day visit to the Far East bets on a positive answer. Seoul, Tokyo, Beijing, Manila, Hanoi. November 3 to November 14, including the anniversary of his victory.
So: If the dynasty's answer appears negative, should we expect ... Brute?
"Elementary Watson".

Corinth 1 October 2017

Kostas Tzanavaras

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